The Reasons Saudi Investment Hasn't Transformed Newcastle into Title Challengers
Eddie Howe isn't typically prone to histrionics or sweeping media statements. Based on his usual demeanor, his media briefing following Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a furious outburst. His side scored first but West Ham were ahead by half-time, as well as hitting the post and having a penalty overturned by VAR, prompting Howe to make a three substitutions at the half-time.
“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” Howe said. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I believe this indicated of where we were in that moment in the game and it’s very, very rare for me to have that impression. Actually, I cannot recall having done so since I’ve been head coach of the club, therefore I believed the team required a significant change at half-time. This explains why I made those decisions.”
Three key players all came off at the interval and the team managed to steady somewhat in the second half, without ever appearing like they might fight back into the game against an opponent that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine league matches. Given the congestion the middle of the standings currently is, with a mere three-point gap dividing third from 11th, and nine points between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of 12 points from 10 games has not placed the Magpies adrift but, similarly, they must not end the campaign in thirteenth place.
The Problem of Expectations
The challenge to an extent is one of perception. With the Saudi PIF, Newcastle possess the wealthiest owners in the globe. The assumption when the Saudi fund bought a majority stake of the club in 2021 was that it would bring a transformative effect, similar to the former Chelsea owner had at Chelsea or Sheikh Mansour did at the Etihad. The distinction is that those two investors took over prior to the introduction of FFP rules (and the current charges against Manchester City relate to if they breached those regulations once they were in place).
Financial regulations restrict the ability of owners, no matter how wealthy, to spend money on their squads and therefore probably would have hindered any Middle Eastern effort to raise Newcastle to the standard of Manchester City. But there is no need for Newcastle’s spending to have been quite as cautious as it has; they could have invested further and remained within the threshold – or simply taken a fairly minor Uefa fine given their major problem is more with the continental than the domestic regulation.
Infrastructure Spending and Financial Rules
Additionally, infrastructure spending is excluded from PSR calculations; the easiest method to raise income to generate more PSR flexibility would be to expand or renovate the stadium. Considering the site of the home ground, with listed buildings on multiple sides, practically that probably implies building an completely new venue. There was talk in March of potentially undertaking the short move to a local park – resistance from community organizations might have been surmounted with a promise to create a new park on the existing stadium site – but there has not been any progress on that plan. There has been significant cutbacks from the Saudi fund on a variety of projects as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the attitude to Newcastle seems completely in keeping with that strategic shift.
Player Sales Situation
The Alexander Isak episode was born of that tension. A bolder management could have portrayed his sale as essential to free up capital for further spending; instead there was a unsuccessful attempt to retain him. This resulted in Newcastle began the season amid a feeling of frustration despite the signings of Woltemade, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Anthony Elanga. The opening was mixed: one win in their initial six fixtures.
But it seemed a corner was reached. They secured five victories in six matches before Sunday, a run that featured convincing wins of Union Saint-Gilloise and Benfica in the Champions League. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The issue perhaps is that Newcastle’s style is extremely intense, high-energy; a minor decrease in energy can have profound consequences. Perhaps the pressure of Premier League, Champions League and Carabao Cup matches, five fixtures in a fortnight, had taken its toll. Woltemade started each of those matches and looked particularly weary.
Reality of Modern Soccer
That’s the reality of modern the sport. Managers must be prepared to rotate. The manager has been unlucky that Wissa’s injury has left him short of attacking options but, no matter how valid the reasons, the weekend's showing was unacceptable –particularly after taking the lead at a stadium primed to turn on its home team.
The Newcastle boss will wish it was merely a temporary setback, an off-day when all players is below par at once, but if the Magpies are to secure the European competition next season, not to mention one day mount an genuine title challenge, they must not be as inconsistent as this.